Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.537954 0.681374 0.835743 1.012320 1.206944 1.413354 1.647322
2025-03-09 0.294619 0.474660 0.690250 0.957450 1.271381 1.621661 2.035814
2025-03-16 0.180787 0.365716 0.608302 0.927275 1.318201 1.768080 2.312940
2025-03-23 0.121739 0.310155 0.578943 0.949757 1.418847 1.970633 2.649946
2025-03-30 0.075895 0.257258 0.541271 0.952101 1.487192 2.128874 2.929961
2025-04-06 0.039977 0.204097 0.492677 0.932157 1.521733 2.242120 3.153387
2025-04-13 0.026376 0.187914 0.495846 0.979930 1.640631 2.456488 3.496046
2025-04-20 0.016575 0.174171 0.499939 1.027107 1.757536 2.667675 3.834485
2025-04-27 0.010289 0.165101 0.509831 1.081410 1.883108 2.889247 4.185349
2025-05-04 0.008056 0.168959 0.542082 1.168470 2.052415 3.165705 4.603212
2025-05-11 0.004286 0.160618 0.550720 1.219589 2.173099 3.381004 4.946678
2025-05-18 0.000808 0.140143 0.533453 1.229780 2.237298 3.524361 5.201800
2025-05-25 NaN 0.101239 0.474326 1.175454 2.216762 3.566175 5.341133
2025-06-01 NaN 0.066993 0.413393 1.112610 2.181490 3.587912 5.455690
2025-06-08 NaN 0.046259 0.374728 1.080835 2.185849 3.657307 5.625926
2025-06-15 NaN 0.038772 0.369414 1.104953 2.269966 3.830655 5.926297
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029105 0.352877 1.107564 2.321785 3.960913 6.172088
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018272 0.324463 1.085925 2.336308 4.040798 6.353557
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017310 0.335548 1.137688 2.460219 4.266505 6.720152
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016350 0.346251 1.188709 2.583112 4.491022 7.085490
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016218 0.360892 1.247337 2.717607 4.731278 7.471132
2025-07-27 NaN 0.019674 0.393747 1.341121 2.905331 5.043123 7.948229
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019084 0.406350 1.396079 3.034620 5.276817 8.326061